Don’t be fooled or sucked in to drafting players with those ‘sexier’ or familiar names; the perennial names that you just ‘assume’ will do well because at one time they might have. We are not saying not to draft any of this group, but before spending a draft pick “too early”, check out why we think they could let you down…
Steven Jackson-RB-Falcons- Hard to believe that SJax is only turning 31! Probably because he will be entering his eleventh year in the NFL and those legs have logged over 10,000 rushing yards (10,678 to be exact). We have never been true supporters of Jacksons even in his prime in St. Louis. Since 2004 he has only tallied more than double-digit touchdowns just once in a season.. Over the last five years Jackson has averaged only 5 TDs per year. He no longer is a featured back and thus will garner just a few touchdowns near the goal line while amassing around 500-700 rushing yards. There are better options.
Eric Decker-WR-Jets- This probable bust is pretty much a n0-brainer as there are not many who feel that Decker will score 24 more touchdowns over the next two years with either Geno Smith or Michael Vick under center. The Jets’ offense will begin and end with their running back trio of Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell, and Chris Johnson, and when they do opt to throw the ball, Decker will see his share of double teams as the rest of the club’s receivers are not going to scare any opponent this season.
Lamar Miller-RB-Dolphins- While many of our Dolphin fans won’t appreciate this bust selection, savvy fantasy owners will. If you recall, Miller underachieved mightily for the bulk of last season before turning it on late. So what did Miami do? They went out and plucked Knowshon Moreno away from the Broncos leaving Miller’s role such that he will no longer be very fantasy relevant.
Chris Johnson-RB-Jets- Unfortunately, for fantasy owners anyway, Johnson will just get caught up in the log jam at the running back position in New York this season with three, count ’em, three very talented backs all fighting for fantasy points. C.J. will not get many opportunities at the goal line, so his value will drop drastically this season. A very late round pick perhaps, for those in deeper leagues.
Victor Cruz-WR-Giants- We love and have missed all that “Salsa” action in the end zone from 2012, but suffered along with many other fantasy owners as Cruz’s production crashed and burned last year in Eli Manning’s worst season in memory. Cruz’ touchdowns should go up as we don’t expect Eli to suffer through quite that bad a season as last year, but those expecting Cruz to be a solid WR1 need to temper their expectations and not rush to grab the speedster too quickly otherwise they may realize some disappointment.
Vincent Jackson-WR-Buccaneers- At the outset here is a warning: Stay away from any receiver who might have to depend on soon to be 35 year old quarterback Josh McCown in a very tenable QB situation in Tampa.. If you still want to go after Jackson then consider that in the Buccaneer’s last 10 games, Jackson caught just three touchdowns. Just a sexy name with a disappointing resume. Pass.
The one saving grace for Lamar Miller? Knowshon Moreno might beat him out for “Bust of the Year” (dis)honors.