*Home team in CAPS
TEXANS over Jaguars- Quite a few people have jumped on the Jaguar’s bandwagon off of their stunning (and boring) win over the Ravens on Monday Night. But they only scored 12 points which, coincidentally enough, is their season average. The Texans have too much offense for the Jags to compete and thus the ability to light it up. If last week is any indication, just look what RB Arian Foster did to the usually strong run defense of the Titans. Foster ran for three touchdowns on 234 yards rushing. Even back-up RB Ben Tate rushed for over 100 yards although the majority came after the Texans were ahead 27-0. Throw in TE Owen Daniels who is 7th in fantasy TE rankings and you can see that they have the firepower even if Andre Johnson doesn’t play( and right now it looks like he’ll sit another week). Texans are our pick, at home, over the Jags.
GIANTS over Dolphins- Those of you who read our October 27th’s post know that we questioned the G-Men’s tenacity when it comes to facing losing teams and at 0-6, the Dolphins surely are in that category. Justin Tuck’s return will be needed to stop RB Daniel Thomas from having his way. After Thomas there really isn’t another offensive threat even though Davone Bess had his best game of the season last week with 7 receptions for 52 yards. They can’t convert on third downs- succeeding only 23.7% of the time (18-76). On paper the Giants should win this game by at least two touchdowns, but the ‘Giants being the Giants’ will probably win in a much closer contest while having the proceeding five weeks against teams that are 24-9 weighing heavily on their minds.
BRONCOS over Lions- The injury laden Lions, losers of their last two (both at home), travel to the mile high city of Denver this week. The home cooking is just what Tim Tebow can use after getting verbally abused by the Miami fans last week. Lions QB Matthew Stafford will be starting as his injured ankle has healed enough for him to play. If he’s on, he should have no problem throwing for 300+ yards and at least two touchdowns as only the Colts are worse on passing defense. Jahvid Best is out, still recovering from his concussion leaving ineffective Maurice Morris and Keiland Williams to establish some sort of running game. All the pundits are saying that Suh will be after Tebow like a fly on a pig but he’s not getting 15-20 sacks in this or any game. The crowd and the QB will give the edge to Denver.
*Redskins over Bills- (game played at Toronto)- On the positive side for the Bills, they will be playing at the Rogers Center in Toronto that has a retractable roof which will allow QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to air it out as he did last year (299 yards) vs the stout pass defense of the Bears. On the negative side, John Beck, a very mobile QB as we’ve seen, will have time to scramble and/or pass to Jabar Gaffney, filling in for injured Santana Moss, and reliable TE Fred Davis. Buffalo has an NFL low 4 sacks all season. Also the Redskins have only allowed 2 TD passes all season which won’t help Fitzpatrick’s stats. And lastly, there is one intangible; with the game being played in Toronto, Buffalo really forfeits their ‘home fied advantage’. They have played at the Rogers Center three times in the last three years…and have lost ALL three! Giving the edge to the ‘Skins.
49ERS over Browns- In what could be the ugliest game of the week (yes, even as bad as the Saints/Rams game), the defense minded 49ers host the limping Cleveland Browns. They will be without RB Peyton Hillis (hamstring) and WR Mohamed Massaquoi (concussion). WR Joshua Cribbs replaces Massaquoi and Montario Hardesty fills in for Hillis. The 49ers have the 2nd best scoring defense allowing an average of just 16 points a game. The Browns need to hire Batman AND Robin to help score more than the 6 measly points they had in last week’s game vs Seattle. The very quiet 49ers will improve to 6-1.
* Last week 3-2
** Season 19-11